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Lies, Damn Lies, & Statistics - 1650

Attached is a section of a spreadsheet I've produced with all the finishing data for the 1650 scenario of games. Many thanks to Middle Earth Games for supplying me with the information. Less detailed results, but a larger sample size of previous GSI 1650 scenario games, can be seen [here].

First the UK data.

A complete spreadsheet, showing challenge ranks, command ranks, top agents, emmisaries etc can be downloaded [here].

Game Number	1st	Points	2nd	Points	3rd	Points	Most Mithril	Most Artefacts	Most Kills	Game End	Winning Side
1	Corsairs	1625	Cloud Lord	1467	Dragon Lord	1467	1022 Dwarves	19 Noldo Elves	11 Cloud Lord	27	Evil
2	Long Rider	1883	Blind Sorc	1550	Quiet Avenger	1450	943 Dwarves	21 Dark Lts	31 Cloud Lord	30	Evil
3	Dunlendings	2350	Easterlings	1783	Rhudaur	1683	1415 Woodmen	29 Fire King	49 Long Rider	55	Good
4	Easterlings	2400	Cloud Lord	2000	Dog Lord	1842	3006 Easterlings	23 Blind Sorc.	43 Cloud Lord	44	Evil
5	Dark Lts	1375	Northern Gondor	1375	Dragon Lord	1050	1110 Dwarves	15 Noldo Elves	12 Cloud Lord	11	Evil
6	Long Rider	1508	Harad (still neutral)	2000	Easterlings	1300	313 Dark Lts	17 Dragon Lord	14 Cloud Lord	Turn 18	Evil
7	Easterlings	2200	Corsairs	2100	Harad	1575	2406 Dark Lts	23 Cloud Lord	35 Cloud Lord	30	Evil
8	Rhudaur	2400	Harad	1800	Eothraim	1767	669 Rhudaur	18 Rhudaur	3 Witch King	45	Good
9	Noldo Elves	1800	Arthedain	1375	Cardolan	1283	999 Dwarves	20 Noldo Elves	12 Cloud Lord	9	Good
10	Dark Lts	2350	Dunlendings	1608	Blind Sorc	1558	608 Fire King	15 Cloud Lord	64 Cloud Lord	28	Evil
11	Easterlings	1825	Blind Sorc	1625	Long Rider	1567	1473 Dwarves	17 Blind Sorc.	14 Cloud Lord	30	Evil
12	Blind Sorc	1892	Cloud Lord	1767	Corsairs	1650	1507 Blind Sorceror	31 Cloud Lord	47 Cloud Lord	43	Evil
13	Arthedain	2350	Dwarves	1800	Noldo Elves	1675	3116 Dwarves	20 Arthedain	25 Cloud Lord	44	Good
14	Easterlings	2025	Witch King	1850	Cloud Lord	1834	2166 Cloud Lord	33 Cloud Lord	93 Cloud Lord	43	Evil
15	Easterlings	2350	Rhudaur	1867	Quiet Avenger	1742	1996 Fire King	16 Northmen	42 Cloud Lord	42	Evil
17	Noldo Elves	1675	Corsairs	1517	Quiet Avenger	1333	898 Noldo Elves	15 Cloud Lord	27 Cloud Lord	18	Good
30	Dwarves	1767	Arthedain	1450	Northmen	1434	854 Dwarves	23 Noldo	6 Cloud Lord	23	Good
31	Long Rider	1684	Cloud Lord	1575	Fire King	1575	1605 Dark Lts	20 Noldo Elves	38 Cloud Lord	29	Evil
32	Dunlendings	1633	Southern Gondor	1433	Woodmen	1425	2416 Dwarves	17 Noldo Elves	9 Cloud Lord	24	Good
34	Witch King	1425	Quiet Avenger	1325	Dog Lord	1225	1018 Noldo Elves!	14 Dragon Lord	19 Cloud Lord	22	Evil
36	South Gondor	1850	Corsairs	1692	Noldo Elves	1650	688 Fire King	24 Noldo Elves	13 Cloud Lord	17	Good
37	Noldo Elves	1634	Haradwaith	1600	Dunlendings	1392	1678 Dwarves	21 Noldo Elves	18 Cloud Lord	26	Good
38	Noldo Elves	1800	Dwarves	1575	Sinda	1533	1746 Dwarves	17 Noldo Elves	16 Cloud Lord	24	Good
74	Dragon Lord	2200	Quiet Avenger	2033	Dunlendings	1800	Unknown	Unknown	Unknown	87	Evil
77	Cloud Lord	2500	Ice King	1883	Quiet Avenger	1775	2415 Quiet Avenger	53 Cloud Lord	126 Cloud Lord	63	Evil
78	Dark Lts	2200	Corsairs	2051	Long Rider	1800	717 Northern Gondor	27 Dark Lts	27 Cloud Lord	Unknown	Evil
83	Noldo Elves	1150	Long Rider	2350	Harad	2133	2448 Long Rider	25 Cloud Lord / Long Rider	47 Cloud Lord	33	Good (Ring?)
85	Easterlings	2100	Southern Gondor	1750	N/A	-	1612 Easterlings	16 Easterlings	18 Cloud Lord	Unknown	Evil
87	Noldo Elves	2000	Corsairs	2200	Arthedain	1983	772 Dwarves	18 Corsairs	14 Corsairs	34	Good
89	Noldo Elves	2000	Eothraim	1766	Cardolan	1601	1678 Dwarves	24 Noldo Elves	5 Northern Gondor	Unknown	Good
90	Blind Sorc	2133	Corsairs	1983	Long rider	1600	1650 Dwarves	20 Blind Sorc.	26 Cloud Lord	35	Evil
92	Harad	2300	Corsairs	1933	Long Rider	1650	1518 Dwarves	27 Cloud Lord	51 Cloud Lord	36	Evil
95	Dog Lord	2001	Long Rider	1950	Harad	1650	1746 Cloud Lord	18 Dog Lord	12 Long Rider	Unknown	Evil
96	Noldo Elves	1733	Arthedain	1658	Cardolan	1434	1412 Dwarves	17 Noldo Elves	17 Cloud Lord	Unknown	Good
97	Rhuduar	1625	Noldo Elves	1441	Southern Gondor	1400	1428 Dwarves	13 Sinda	19 Cloud Lord	26	Good
98	Blind Sorc	1475	Noldo Elves	2000	Northmen	1516	3348 Dwarves	33 Cloud Lord	128 Cloud Lord	48	Evil
99	Northmen	2017	Noldo Elves	1950	Dwarves	1816	1904 Northmen	23 Artefacts	33 Quiet Avenger	48	Good
100	Dog Lord	1542	Noldo Elves	1766	Blind Sorc	1375	984 Quiet Avenger	15 Dog Lord	20 Cloud Lord	Unknown	Evil
102	Cardolan	2250	Eothraim	1950	Easterlings	1792	1527 Noldo Elves	25 Noldo Elves	81 Cloud Lord	75	Good
115	Sinda Elves	2167	Harad	2033	Corsairs	1775	775 Sinda Elves	15 Sinda / Corsairs	6 Long Rider	33	Good
116	Corsairs	2200	Dog Lord	1250	Dragon Lord	1200	1661 Corsairs	15 Noldo Elves	12 Cloud Lord	18	Evil
235	Witch King	2067	None	-	None	-	5286 Sinda Elves	52 Witch King	64 Cloud Lord	24	Evil

Analysis

So what do the new figures tell us?

1) Harlequin have completed 42 games in the UK of which...

24 have been won by the Dark Servants
And 18 by the Free Peoples.

So the Dark servants win 57% of the time. This is an reduction on the previous win percentage of 66%.

2) Of the Victories for the Dark Servants...

The Blind Sorcerer has won 3 out of 24. A surprising statistic given the general weakness of the position.
The Cloud Lord has only come out on top once.
The Dark Lts are the top starting DS nation to win but the Long Rider has the best overall record.
The Easterlings have benefited the most from declaring DS. Winning 6 times.

3) Of the Victories for the Free Peoples...

The Noldo have won 8 times out of 18. They have placed in 4 of the other 10 free victories. It seems that if the Free win, then the Noldo generally come top.

There's also some less detailed results for previous GSI games. The larger sample size however, gives a better indication of the win/lose ratio for the two sides. Many thanks to Jeremy Richman for supplying the data.

GSI 1650 Game Results

GAME#	Free/Dark	1st-place	2nd-place	3rd-place
2	free	Dwarves	Arthedain	Noldo
3	dark	Fire King	Long Rider	Haradwaith
4	free	Haradwaith	Noldo	none
5	free	Woodmen	Dark Lieutenants	Dwarves
6	free	Northmen	Noldo	Eothraim
7	dark	Long Rider	Dog Lord	Dark Lieutenants
8	dark	Cloud Lord	Dark Lieutenants	Corsairs
9	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Cloud Lord	Noldo
10	free	Easterlings	Dwarves	Sinda
11	free	Sinda	Long Rider	Cloud Lord
12	free	Dunlendings	Noldo	Arthedain
13	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Quiet Avenger	Ice King
14	free	South Gondor	Dwarves	Noldo
15	free	Noldo	Long Rider	Cloud Lord
16	free	Noldo	Arthedain	Dog Lord
17	dark	Fire King	none	none
18	free	Cardolan	Noldo	Arthedain
19	free	Noldo	Haradwaith	Dwarves
20	dark	Blind Sorcerer	Witch-King	Dog Lord
21	free	North Gondor	South Gondor	Rhudaur
22	dark	Corsairs	Haradwaith	Cloud Lord
23	dark	Easterlings	Cloud Lord	Blind Sorcerer
24	free	South Gondor	Corsairs	Dunlendings
25	dark	Witch-King	Corsairs	Long Rider
26	free	Woodmen	Noldo	Arthedain
27	free	Haradwaith	Arthedain	Dunlendings
28	dark	Fire King	Easterlings	none
29	dark	Quiet Avenger	Cloud Lord	Sinda
30	dark	Haradwaith	Corsairs	unknown
31	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Witch-King	Fire King
32	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Fire King	Cloud Lord
33	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Haradwaith	Cloud Lord
34	dark	Long Rider	Cloud Lord	Blind Sorcerer
35	dark	Blind Sorcerer	Dunlendings	Dragon Lord
36	dark	Corsairs	Long Rider	Cloud Lord
37	dark	Easterlings	Corsairs	Long Rider
38	dark	Quiet Avenger	Ice King	Dunlendings
39	dark	Corsairs	Cloud Lord	none
40	free	Noldo	Haradwaith	North Gondor
41	dark	Witch-King	Dark Lieutenants	Quiet Avenger
42	dark	Haradwaith	Long Rider	Easterlings
43	dark	Haradwaith	Dark Lieutenants	Cloud Lord
44	free	Haradwaith	Sinda	Arthedain
45	dark	Cloud Lord	Quiet Avenger	Long Rider
46	dark	Haradwaith	Corsairs	Dog Lord
47	dark	Corsairs	Fire King	Blind Sorcerer
48	free	Cardolan	Arthedain	Haradwaith
49	free	Sinda	North Gondor	South Gondor
50	dark	Witch-King	Quiet Avenger	Long Rider
51	dark	Long Rider	Corsairs	Cloud Lord
52	dark	Fire King	Ice King	Cloud Lord
53	dark	Corsairs	Northmen	Cloud Lord
54	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Cloud Lord	Dunlendings
55	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Witch-King	Blind Sorcerer
56	free	South Gondor	Noldo	Eothraim
57	dark	Dark Lieutenants	Ice King	Easterlings
58	free	Haradwaith	South Gondor	Woodmen
59	dark	Dog Lord	Cloud Lord	Fire King
60	dark	Cloud Lord	Quiet Avenger	Ice King
61	free	Cardolan	Long Rider	Arthedain
62	dark	Cloud Lord	Haradwaith	Corsairs
63	free	Noldo	Eothraim	Cardolan
64	free	North Gondor	Dwarves	South Gondor
65	dark	Ice King	Haradwaith	Corsairs
66	free	Noldo	Woodmen	Sinda
67	free	Dunlendings	Corsairs	Cardolan
68	dark	Dog Lord	Cloud Lord	Quiet Avenger
69	free	Haradwaith	North Gondor	Noldo
70	dark	Blind Sorcerer	Corsairs	Quiet Avenger
71	free	Corsairs	Noldo	Dunlendings
72	free	Dwarves	Haradwaith	none
73	dark	Blind Sorcerer	Cloud Lord	Haradwaith
74	dark	Blind Sorcerer	Corsairs	Dark Lieutenants
75	free	Arthedain	Haradwaith	none
76	dark	Corsairs