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Lies, Damn Lies, & Statistics - 2950
Attached is a section of a spreadsheet I've produced with all
the small amount of UK finishing data for the 2950 scenario of games. Many thanks to
Middle Earth Games for supplying me with the information. Less detailed results, but a larger
sample size of previous GSI 2950 scenario games, can be seen [here].
A complete spreadsheet, showing challenge ranks, command
ranks, top agents, emmisaries etc can be downloaded [here].
Game
Number |
1st |
Points |
2nd |
Points |
3rd |
Points |
Most
Mithril |
Most
Artefacts |
Most
Kills |
Game End |
Winning
Side |
9 |
Silvan Elves |
1667 |
N/A |
|
N/A |
|
1176
Quiet Avenger |
21
Silvan Elves |
39
Cloud Lord |
75 |
9 |
17 |
Noldo Elves |
2217 |
Sinda Elves |
2200 |
Dunadan Rangers |
2050 |
4935
Noldo Elves |
32
Noldo Elves |
6
Cloud Lord |
39 |
Free |
19 |
Dunadan Rangers |
2034 |
Woodmen |
1725 |
Noldo Elves |
1683 |
1888
Dark Lts |
11
Various |
46
Cloud Lord |
38 |
Free |
21 |
Dark Lts |
1700 |
Dog Lord |
1650 |
Witch King |
1641 |
1235
Dwarves |
24
Witch King |
13
Cloud Lord |
21 |
Evil |
22 |
Cloud Lord |
1983 |
Corsairs |
1817 |
Dark Lts |
1783 |
2966
Dunlendings |
24
Cloud Lord |
29
Cloud Lord |
35 |
Evil |
23 |
S Gondor |
2100 |
Dunlendings |
1750 |
Noldo Elves |
1725 |
1965
Rohan |
18
Noldo |
23
Cloud Lord |
36 |
Good |
24 |
Long Rider |
1592 |
Fire King |
1367 |
Corsairs |
1133 |
998
White Wizard |
16
Cloud Lord |
23
Cloud Lord |
21 |
Evil |
25 |
S Gondor |
1933 |
Dunlendings |
1883 |
White Wizard |
1783 |
2062
S Gondor |
19
Noldo |
12
Long Rider |
33 |
Good |
26 |
S Gondor |
1400 |
Corsairs |
1375 |
White Wizard |
1342 |
954
Noldo |
15
Noldo |
2
Woodmen |
16 |
Good |
109 |
Long Rider |
1542 |
Quiet Avenger |
1317 |
Fire King |
1300 |
629
White Wizard |
14
Long Rider |
14
Cloud Lord |
16 |
Evil |
204 |
Cloud Lord |
2150 |
Fire King |
1750 |
Long Rider |
1575 |
536 Sinda Elves |
16
Cloud Lord |
14
Cloud Lord |
29 |
Evil |
GSI 2950 Game Results
GAME
# |
Free/Dark |
1st-place |
2nd-place |
3rd-place |
2 |
dark |
Corsairs |
Dragon Lord |
Cloud Lord |
4 |
dark |
Corsairs |
Dog Lord |
Cloud Lord |
5 |
free |
Dunadan |
Woodmen |
Dwarves |
6 |
free |
Khand East |
Dunadan |
Rohan |
7 |
free |
Dunadan |
Sinda |
Noldo |
8 |
dark |
Quiet Avenger |
Witch-King |
Corsairs |
9 |
dark |
Khand East |
Blind Sorcerer |
Cloud Lord |
10 |
dark |
Dark Lieutenants |
Corsairs |
Dog Lord |
11 |
dark |
Dog Lord |
Quiet Avenger |
Corsairs |
12 |
free |
South Gondor |
Rhun East |
Dwarves |
13 |
dark |
Corsairs |
Dunlendings |
Khand East |
14 |
dark |
Long Rider |
Ice King |
Quiet Avenger |
15 |
free |
South Gondor |
White Wizard |
Dwarves |
16 |
dark |
Khand East |
Quiet Avenger |
Corsairs |
17 |
free |
White Wizard |
Dwarves |
Corsairs |
18 |
dark |
Cloud Lord |
Ice King |
Dog Lord |
19 |
free |
South Gondor |
Silvan |
Dunadan |
20 |
dark |
Ice King |
Dark Lieutenants |
Khand East |
21 |
dark |
White Wizard |
Dark Lieutenants |
Corsairs |
22 |
free |
North Gondor |
White Wizard |
Dunadan |
23 |
free |
Noldo |
Dunadan |
North Gondor |
24 |
free |
Dunlendings |
North Gondor |
Northmen |
25 |
dark |
Cloud Lord |
Khand East |
Dog Lord |
27 |
dark |
Cloud Lord |
Dog Lord |
Long Rider |
28 |
free |
White Wizard |
Silvan |
Rhun East |
30 |
free |
Rhun East |
Noldo |
Blind Sorcerer |
32 |
dark |
Dark Lieutenants |
Fire King |
Cloud Lord |
33 |
free |
Woodmen |
Silvan |
Northmen |
34 |
dark |
Dog Lord |
White Wizard |
Dunlendings |
36 |
free |
White Wizard |
Noldo |
Sinda |
37 |
free |
North Gondor |
South Gondor |
Rhun East |
38 |
free |
Noldo |
South Gondor |
Woodmen |
39 |
dark |
Khand East |
Long Rider |
Fire King |
40 |
free |
Khand East |
Rohan |
Rhun East |
41 |
dark |
White Wizard |
Corsairs |
Dragon Lord |
43 |
free |
Sinda |
Noldo |
Silvan |
44 |
free |
Noldo |
Dunadan |
Woodmen |
45 |
dark |
Ice King |
Fire King |
Dark Lieutenants |
46 |
dark |
Dragon Lord |
Witch-King |
Dog Lord |
47 |
free |
Noldo |
Corsairs |
White Wizard |
48 |
free |
Noldo |
Dunadan |
Sinda |
49 |
free |
South Gondor |
Corsairs |
Dunlendings |
50 |
free |
Dunlendings |
Cloud Lord |
Blind Sorcerer |
51 |
dark |
Blind Sorcerer |
Ice King |
Witch-King |
52 |
dark |
Khand East |
Dog Lord |
Quiet Avenger |
53 |
free |
Dunlendings |
Sinda |
Woodmen |
55 |
dark |
Quiet Avenger |
Long Rider |
White Wizard |
56 |
free |
Rohan |
North Gondor |
Noldo |
57 |
free |
Silvan |
Sinda |
Noldo |
58 |
dark |
Ice King |
White Wizard |
Cloud Lord |
59 |
dark |
White Wizard |
Dunlendings |
Corsairs |
60 |
free |
Dunadan |
Northmen |
Dunlendings |
62 |
dark |
Corsairs |
Dog Lord |
Dark Lieutenants |
64 |
dark |
Dunlendings |
Quiet Avenger |
Dog Lord |
65 |
free |
Noldo |
Khand East |
South Gondor |
68 |
dark |
Dunlendings |
Cloud Lord |
White Wizard |
69 |
free |
White Wizard |
Dunlendings |
Corsairs |
70 |
free |
White Wizard |
Corsairs |
Noldo |
71 |
free |
Dunlendings |
Noldo |
Corsairs |
72 |
free |
Noldo |
Dunlendings |
Dunadan |
73 |
free |
Rohan |
Northmen |
South Gondor |
77 |
dark |
Fire King |
Corsairs |
Dark Lieutenants |
78 |
free |
Dunlendings |
Noldo |
White Wizard |
79 |
free |
Dunadan |
Noldo |
Woodmen |
82 |
dark |
Long Rider |
Quiet Avenger |
Dog Lord |
86 |
dark |
Witch-King |
Dog Lord |
White Wizard |
87 |
free |
Noldo |
White Wizard |
South Gondor |
1) Using the GSI figures, the results of 67 completed games
show...
- 31 have been won by the Dark Servants
- And 36 by the Free Peoples.
So the Free People win 54% of the time.
2) Of the Victories for the Dark Servants.
- The Witch King once
- The Dragon Lord once
- The Dog Lord 2 times
- The Cloud Lord 3 times
- The Blind Sorcerer has won once
- The Ice King 3 times
- The Quiet Avenger 2 times
- The Fire King once
- The Long Rider 2 times
- The Dark Lieutenants 2 times
3) Of the Victories for the Free Peoples.
- The Woodmen once
- The Riders of Rohan 2 times
- The Dunadain has won 4 times
- The Silvan Elves once
- North Gondor 2 times
- South Gondor 4 times
- The Sinda once
- The Noldo 8 times
Notably, the Dwarves and Northmen have never won.
4) Of the victories for the Neutrals
- The Corsairs 4 times as Dark Servants and never as Free People
- The Rhun Easterlings never as Dark Servants and once as Free
People
- The Dunlendings 2 times as Dark Servants and 5 times as Free
People
- The White Wizard 3 times as Dark Servants 5 times as Free
People
- Khand Easterlings 4 times as Dark Servants and 2 times as Free
People
Putting all these figures into a points tally
for both Harlequin (UK) and GSI (USA) 2950 results. Allocating 3 points for a win, 2
for second and 1 for third. The most successful nations are...
Woodmen |
9 |
points |
|
Witch King |
8 |
points |
|
Corsairs |
36 |
points |
Northmen |
6 |
points |
|
Dragon Lord |
6 |
points |
|
Rhun Easterlings |
8 |
points |
Rohan |
9 |
points |
|
Dog Lord |
22 |
points |
|
Dunlendings |
36 |
points |
Dunadan |
23 |
points |
|
Cloud Lord |
19 |
points |
|
White Wizard |
41 |
points |
Silvan Elves |
10 |
points |
|
Blind Sorceror |
7 |
points |
|
Khand East |
24 |
points |
Northern Gondor |
11 |
points |
|
Ice King |
15 |
points |
|
|
|
|
Southern Gondor |
28 |
points |
|
Quiet Avenger |
18 |
points |
|
|
|
|
Dwarves |
5 |
points |
|
Fire King |
9 |
points |
|
|
|
|
Sinda |
11 |
points |
|
Long Rider |
14 |
points |
|
|
|
|
Noldo |
41 |
points |
|
Dark Lts |
14 |
points |
|
|
|
|
What do the results tell us? Well the 2950
scenario seems to be bucking the trend. The Free People are just winning more games
than the Dark Servants.
The results confirm that four of the neutrals
are super powers. Regardless of these nations declarations, the game is heavily
influenced in favour of the side they join. The Rhun Easterlings sometimes get
attacked early on by both sides, this might explain why they don't figure as prominantly
as the other neutral nations.
The five Neutrals account for 33% of all points.
The ten Free People nations account for 36% with the remaining 31% of being picked
up by the Dark Servants.
Certain nations always struggle. Northmen,
Dragon Lord, Rhun Easterlings.
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